Ok, a virtual beer to who can name the move where the title of this post is quoted. SisterToldjah has one heck of a blog. Y’all should visit her regularly. On the debate thread she posted, I put a comment in that was much in line with my “Bleak” posting below. In the comment thread, a comment by Trish said that my posts have been rather cynical lately. I don’t know if it’s cynicism, but she is right that things have been waaayyyyyyy to serious lately. So, let’s start to lighten things up a bit. We need to smile more and so I’m going to try to do that. Here is a rather cute forwarded chain email my wife received. I thought it was funny and since I had not seen it before, I think I’ll share it without clogging your inbox:
“I was talking to a friend of mine’s little girl, and she said she wanted to be President some day. Both of her parents, liberal Democrats, were standing there, so I asked her, ‘If you were president what would be the first thing you would do?’ She replied, ‘I’d give food and houses to all the homeless people.’
‘Wow - what a worthy goal,’ I told her. ‘But you don’t have to wait until you’re President to do that. You can come over to my house and mow the grass, pull weeds, and sweep my yard, and I’ll pay you $50. Then I’ll take you over to the grocery store where the homeless guy hangs out, and you can give him the $50 to use toward food or a new house.’
She thought that over for a few seconds ’cause she’s only 6.’ And while her Mom glared at me, she looked me straight in the eye and asked, ‘Why doesn’t the homeless guy come over and do the work, and you can just pay him the $50?’ And I said, ‘Welcome to the Republican Party.’ Her folks still aren’t talking to me.”
And now, because they’re cute and funny as heck, kittens:
I don’t give up. I always fight to the last breath. However, there comes a time when it becomes obvious what is happening to you and now, it cannot be denied anymore: Obama has taken a stranglehold on this election. I have had this feeling since Friday night and I still think the same thing. Obama’s lead is fatal and won’t be overcome by McCain. Senator McCain has had a terrible 10 days. First, McCain started to tank last week when he stood by and watched the whole meltdown mess. Obama was watching too, but was able to make enough noise about McCain doing nothing that no one noticed. Now, to be fair, McCain not jumping in isn’t what swayed people. When the economy tanks, people will want to fire the team in charge and right now, that’s McCain. No, it’s not fair, but that’s the way it is. Next, McCain’s trick (and yes, his DC trip is/was a campaign trick) backfired. After an initial bump up in the Zogby poll, he started back down as the people saw through it. Had he skipped that debate, Obama could confess to eating children he finds on the street and would still be elected. The debate on Friday was the final cut. He needed to find a way to stem his fall and he failed. I thought he edged out a win in the debate, but roughly half the coutry thinks Obama won and less than 40% say McCain won. Again, it’s not right, but that’s the way it is.
As of now, we have the following undeniable truths:
Colorado is out of the margin of error and pulling away
Michigan is out of contention.
Ohio is trending toward Obama (McCain has fallen from +2.5 to +1.2).
Florida is now in contention after McCain had it secured (down to +1.6 from +4.5)
PA is at +4.4% for Obama, up from the 2’s.
Missouri is coming back into play.
Virginia is +1.4 for Obama when it was for McCain.
The RCP national average is Obama +4.3
The Intrade is 56.6 for Obama to 42 for McCain being president
The electoral college count without tossups has Obama +34 when he was +8
Any one of those can be dismissed, but you cannot ignore reality. Reality is that everything is trending to Obama and unless something big happens, this show is over and Obama is going to win big. We need a major gaffe by Obama or the 527’s to get off their butts or we’re in very serious trouble.
The first counter attack should be Sarah Palin in the debate. She needs to point out the fact that Obama has 3 people who had over 100 million in total “golden parachutes” from FM/FM on his staff. She needs to take a copy of that lawyer letter threatening the various TV stations and ask why Biden would support a censoring candidate. In short, she needs to do McCain’s job for him. Forget reassuring people about her abilities. Win the election and you have 4 years to do that. Her entire debate needs to be a full scale attack on Obama, ignoring Biden.
We need the 527’s to put up ads linking Obama with Ayers, Wright, and whoever else we can find to let people know what kind of person Obama is. We need commercials detailing his Infant Born Alive act views. If we can’t tell people who Obama really is, we’re finished. It’s frustrating, yes. I know people who voted for W twice who are so sick of him and the republicans that they are voting Obama. Insanity? Yes, but again, that’s the way it is and we have to deal with that reality.
Our side needs to do something fast. It is going to be hard as heck to turn this around and debates like Friday will not help. The real Obama needs to be shown far and wide. We need to be supportive of McCain when he bashes Bush. He has to separate himself from Bush and the only way to do that is by publicly calling him out. We need to call the TV stations under fire for running commercials and give them support. We need to get the 527’s off their collective rears and get going on Obama.
I don’t like being the wet blanket but reality is reality and right now, reality says we’re looking at POTUS Obama. It is time for the last stand. As the swarms of the enemy start to engulf us, we need to take that deep breath, take a look at our comrades in arms and charge into the fight. Our future depends on it.
Ok, that was so-so. I think McCain won. Obama won the first question, the next couple were a draw then the rest went to McCain. I don’t think this will do anything to the polls. Obama is pulling away and will continue to do so.
One thing I think McCain did well in separating him from Bush. He did ok, but he could have knocked Obama out simply by asking him why you would reward a corrupt CEO by making him a top dog in your campaign. That would have been a knock out.
Ok, more like a pillow fight. Obama could say “There are no Russians in Georgia and there’s no such thing as terrorists” and the media will go for the next week discussing whether or not Russians really are in Georgia or whether terrorists really exist. Meanwhile, if McCain scratches an itch, we’ll hear about how itching is the start of a cancer attack. Lehrer is in the tank for Obama (who in the media isn’t?) so expect him to protect Obama at all costs tonight. If he gets into trouble, I would expect Lehrer to answer for him and continue without batting an eye.
Anyway, we’ll be live chatting the debate tonight. I’ll open the talk about 8:00 EST and we’ll go to about 11:00. We need to keep a count of every Obama “Uh” or “Um” and see who collapses under the pressure. I’ll be in and out sporadically until the debate so if you pop in a comment and it doesn’t appear immediately, be patient with me. Usually others (LB for instance) take over for my incompetence and approve since unlike the annointed one, I cannot do 2 things at once. Enjoy!
I don’t know where the nest is. I have no idea how they got to North Carolina from Asia, but here they are. Dang. When they fly it is loud. When they hit something, it is as loud as a junebug hitting things. All I know is these things are freaking big.
I think this says that McCain must make that debate. If he is getting some traction and momentum out of this then he has to keep it going by spanking Obama in the debate. If I am the democrats, I am sabotaging the whole deal until Saturday making McCain decide between breaking his word on the debate or missing it.
I still say it has no upside as I don’t really trust Zogby, but if the other polls do, then I’ll gladly admit I was wrong. I have no problem being wrong and admitting it. I hope I am on this.
Karl Rove argues that the winner of the first debate is set up as the frontrunner, and offers advice to both McCain and Bambi about how to conduct themselves.
Good news: It’s on Foreign Policy, which is McCain’s ground. No teleprompters. No media spinning.
Bad news: Bambi’s been ‘resting’ (we used to call it ‘whoring for money’, but no matter), and practicing his killer lines. McCain’s been doing some actual work on the Wall Street Bulti-Billion Bad Business Bailout Bonanza® and probably hasn’t had much time to practice zingers of his own.
And a badly-delivered zinger is worse than no zinger at all.
In criticizing President Bush’s foreign policy, Mr. Obama must be careful not to sound like he’s running down America. Breaking with someone in his party on a vital issue would show leadership and independence.
Running down Goddam Amerikkka? Obambi? Perish the thought. And he’s broken with his party on many issues, such as, uh, talking down to black folks (which can get you your nuts cut out, if you upset the wrong race-baiter), and telling bad teachers that they really ought to, but nevertheless won’t, be fired.
I’m looking forward to it in ways I can barely describe. Friday night is the beginning of the end of teh Obamateur™ and his tissue-thin claims to being taken seriously at this level. It’s also an opportunity to wrap Joe Biden’s moronic burblings of the last few days around his neck, and watch him flail.
He will likely, if you can pardon the mangled cliche, collapse under his own weightlessness.
The sky is not falling. The market will correct itself - bad lenders will fail, new investors will buy good assets and bad (high risk, potentially high return), new banks will emerge, and the idiots that created the mess will be out of work.
What could be better than that? Other than Sarah Palin drop-kicking Biden in the nuts at the VP debate.
Think about that one. That one has no real downside. Palin is already being painted as a lightweight. If Obama loses to her, she moves up and he looks like a loser. If Obama wins, well, he was supposed to. It’s UM vs App State again. This time we would have nothing to lose.
I know, there’s no way, but hey, I can dream, right?
Look, I know there are a lot of people saying this is an ok move. However, unless some really good things happen, I don’t think this gets him anything. If it works, it’s forgotten in a day. If it doesn’t, he’s finished.
I think he’s starting to figure out that it’s not going to work and I have a feeling that he will be at that debate tomorrow. It’s just a matter of saving face to get there. There’s no way he can let Obama have 90 minutes in front of 100 million people with unchallenged softballs thrown his way. If he can’t be there, Palin must be. After all, she is supposed to be able to be president, right? McCain cannot let Obama have that time unchallenged or this will not be a forgotten stunt, it will be the end of the campaign.
Last year, the Michigan Wolverines scheduled a game against I-AA App State. We in the Michigan blogsphere blew a collective gasket. What the heck was the Michigan AD thinking? Where’s the upside to scheduling a I-AA opponent. There were 3 outcomes. 1: Michigan wins in a blowout. Big freaking deal. You beat App State. Shut up and give them their million dollar check and go away. 2: Michigan wins in a close one. Embarrassing, but you get over it, give them their check. 3: App State wins and humiliates the hell out of you taking your pride with that check. As we all know, it was option 3 that happened. The worst of the possible outcomes. The lesson there is you make sure your risk has an upside and little downside. No upside? Don’t take the risk.
That brings us to McCain and his decision today. This has been a very bad week for McCain and it’s all his doing. First he’s caught flat footed and silent during the meltdown. Obama was silent until he started hitting McCain for being silent. Then McCain blames the only republican he could find (Cox) while completely ignoring the roles various members of Obama’s campaign. Now, he pulls a stunt that he cannot win.
Here’s what his stunt looks like: “Gee, I’ve had my rear handed to me for the last 10 days. I blew my lead by standing around like a bump on a log drooling on myself while the crisis happened. Obama stopped standing around like a bump long enough to point out that I was standing around. My lead evaporated. Hey, I know, I need an attention grabbing stunt to put the light back on me. I know, I’ll cancel my campaign until it’s over and go back to DC. It won’t look desperate. No, it will look leaderly.” No, Senator, it looks desperate.
As I said above, every decision has to have a risk/reward evaluation and I cannot find any reward here. He can’t win this. The most he can get is a tie. Let me explain. There are 4 scenarios that can happen. Here are the possibilities.
1. McCain comes back to Washington and the deal is hammered out Thursday and finished early Friday. What happens? Obama announces that he will be there to vote. He flies in at the last second, holds a press conference on the steps of the Senate, goes in and gives a speech that will be on his site and in the news, he casts his vote for it and leaves for the debate. McCain gains NOTHING except a loss of 2 days prep for the debate. He isn’t the star here. As soon as Obama announces his intent to vote, OBAMA becomes the story.
2. The deal is not complete by Friday night and McCain goes to the debate anyway. Basically his bluff is called and he loses. He looks terribly indecisive or worse looks like a gambler and this is just a ploy for attention that backfires.
3. The deal is not complete by Friday night and McCain stays in Washington. Obama gets an entire 90 minute debate ALL TO HIMSELF. He may bring a cardboard cutout of McCain to put at the empty podium. I would. Obama makes no gaffes as he has no pressure. After all, there’s no opponent. Jim Lehrer, the moderator, who is in the tank for Obama, tosses softball after softball and Obama takes a permanent lead. Race over.
4. One of the above happens but something else happens and it becomes moot. Like finding the rumored Whitey tape, or a tape of Obama in that church applauding GD America. Not bloody likely.
McCain went all in and Obama called him saying what anyone would have said: “I can do 2 things at once. Why can’t he?” This is a disaster and nothing good will come of it. McCain is going to lose this election and it will be moves like this that will do it.
Not even the Sarahnator can save this one. Let’s hope something else happens or Obama blinks. Let’s hope I’m wrong and it makes McCain look “leaderly” to the American people and makes Obama look weak. I’m not holding my breath.
UPDATE: Hugh Hewitt thinks I am way off. He calls it Obama’s Katrina. I hope he’s right, but I think he’s forgetting all those days that McCain said nothing while Obama pounded him for saying nothing.
From the very reasonable people at the hillaryclintonforum.net comes this article. SamKm has a link to a story of an Israeli filmmaker followed Sarah Palin around for a few days while she was governor. This was before she became VP nominee Palin, roughly sometime in June. He said that Governor Palin never asked him to stop filming or tried to hide anything. She was a “what you see is what you get” person. He was highly impressed. People are asking him for video clips left and right. He has requested to be allowed to follow her during this election too. I think it would be good. Here’s his story.
I wonder just how many former Hillary supporters have moved to McCain. Palin was a big draw for some initially, but I wonder how many supporters of Senator Clinton could really pull the lever for a republican. I know McCain is more moderate than a lot and less intimidating than a lot of republicans, but he is still a republican nevertheless. How many he pulls from Senator Obama is going to determine the election, IMHO. It’s going to be interesting.
The elitist snobs of the Democrat party have been ragging on Sarah Palin for being from a small town as if it really isn’t part of America. I have news for those jerks, small towns *are* America. The hallmark of small town America is the local fair. For a week, the community is brought together for fun and food on the midway. We went to ours today and here are some pictures.
No, it’s not Cedar Point, Disney or Six Flags, but it’s here and it’s a blast. The Ferris Wheel is always prominent on the horizon.
First up is eating. Yeah, I know, the smart people eat at McDonalds. But even if you eat at McDonalds, you still get hooked by the smells. So I picked this one. The blonde is just visiting. This guy is from Philly and of all the fair food I have ever had, it was the best. And yes, that is his picture on the side. Well, a cartoon of him.
A view of the walkway heading toward the rides.
People on the walkway. All small town folk. Some are righties, some lefties. All mainstream Americans.
All fairs have the money traps, also known as games.
Here are some of the prizes that you won’t win. But you will win a pencil if you play! I couldn’t help think of Sarah Palin when looking at the moose.
One of the cool things about the fair is that you will run into your friends while you’re there. We ran into Keegan’s friend from school and they spent the rest of the day together.
Time for the RIDES! Woo Hoo!
This was a new one, it was called Rockin’ Tug. More like Tug in a Typhoon if you ask me.
The slide is always a big hit.
All I kept thinking here was that Simpson’s episode where Bart used apples to get himself into the roller coaster and the safety bar came down and did nothing. His last words were “That can’t be good” before it took off.
All good county fairs have the redneck trifecta. Wrestling, tractor pulls and a demolition derby. Here are the remains of the demolition derby part.
So now you’re probably asking yourself, Chris, what rides did you go on? Well, none. Let me show you why…
Um, spins. Really fast.
Spins in the air, really fast.
Spins forward then backward, really fast.
Spins while throwing you up and down. It’s called the zipper and/or the chainsaw. No thanks.
Spins while spinning you. 2 directional spinning.
I used to be able to do all these. Back in 93, I took my oldest to one of these and we went on the tilt-o-whirl and then the zipper. I walked off the ride, straight to the port-a-john and after downloading my meal, I proceeded to just watch. Been unable to ride them ever since. I still do roller coasters though. Can’t get enough of those. Anyway, back to rides.
The tilt-o-whirl was a hit for some. That’s Graham in the yellow shirt with his friend from school that he bumped into while walking around.
And a hurler for others. This picture is during the ride. Keegan’s friend is in the shirt and jeans. She wants off. NOW!
Every fair worth anything has bumper cars. Although this reminds me of I-75 going through Detroit.
The girl in the orange shirt was on one of the soccer teams I coached a couple years back. Like I said, a local fair is a community event and the whole town comes out.
The mini-monster truck!
Girl, pony, enough said. Not all rides are mechanical.
Every fair has a pavilion and ours is no different. It’s where the town folk can rent space for a table and advertise their wares.
No southern small town fair is complete without the “Sons of the Confederacy”. I declined the sticker. I’m one of those yank transplants from Detroit.
Heroes abound. Here is the local veterans table.
Different type of hero. The local fire department.
Ordinary people can be heroes too. A non profit to fight community violence.
Finally, the political parties have their tables up too.
Here is the democrat party booth. I talked to the people here and they are wonderful, small town types. The kind that Obama, Pelosi, Dean and the like talk about sneeringly in their DC cocktail parties. Take a good look at this booth. What do you notice? I noticed it right away. I’ll tell you at the end. It’s not the flags. These are patriotic people. I can promise you that there will not be one single flag in a dumpster from either the democrat or republican booth. No, look at the booth and tell me what you notice.
Here is the republican booth. Yes, I bought my McCain/Palin sticker and promptly put it on my van.
So that’s it. The Rowan County Fair version 2008. Where am I going with this? Heck, I don’t know. I guess I’m trying to say that small town fairs are a capsule of a community and by extension America. There are democrats and republicans and indifferents all celebrating their town and their country. I may disagree with them, but unlike their party’s leaders, I don’t think that the local democrats are anti-American or hate the country. However, I refuse to believe that Barack Obama has ever been to one of these outside of a campaign. I refuse to believe his kids ever have. There’s no way that Joe Biden ever has. Hillary and Bill? Maybe when they were governor, but I don’t know. Pelosi? You have got to be kidding me. They talk and joke about the people at this fair in their DC cocktail parties.
McCain? I can believe it but I doubt it (but I’ll bet Meghan has!). However, I don’t think he sneers at us from a loft in Manhattan. I have *NO DOUBT* what so ever that the Palin family looks forward to the Wasilla fair every year. I have no doubt that she walks the midway munching on elephant ears and drinking watered down drinks while her kids beg for dollars for this game or that. She is one of us. If McCain wins, we, the ordinary people, will have one of us in the Whitehouse and that’s way cool.
Oh, and that picture of the democrat booth? Did you notice that there is no mention of Biden at all? No Obama/Biden stickers, yard signs or anything. Only Obama. And they say our VP pick is an embarrassment? HA! Pot, meet kettle…
One of the strengths of Obama’s curriculum vitae, for some of his supporters, is its variety. Growing up, he lived in Hawaii and Indonesia. He studied in LA, New York and Boston and knows his way around Washington.
He’s a world citizen.
Come again? A world citizen? How admirable. He studied in three of the most crime-ridden sinks in North America! And he lived in Bali when he was eight.
Bill Clinton, who hails from Hope, Arkansas, embodies the easy social connectedness which a small town upbringing can produce.
Of course, he’s graduated from small town America, he’s a hick sophisticate, if you will. What with his easy social connectedness (or, relentless whoremongering, as some have called it).
But Palin is altogether different, as the sneering condescension in this next section makes abundantly clear.
You might even be married to someone you knew in high school, as Palin told the world she was. “My guy,” was how she introduced her husband, Todd Palin, to the cheering crowd that night.
You might even be pregnant in high school, as her daughter Bristol is - but somehow the redoubtable Palin has turned that into a small-town virtue, too.
“My guy”. How utterly proletarian.
Once upon a time the left claimed to stand for proletarians. Now they can barely conceal the hatred.
Michael Lohan, the publicity-hungriest Lohan (which you have to admit, makes him a pretty impressive person), is all bent out of shape after teh Obamateur™ dissed LiLo following her offer to campaign for him (or something).
“For Barack Obama to condemn my daughter for past indiscretions when he admitted to the exact same himself is indicative of what kind of president he would be,” Michael Lohan told Pop Tarts via e-mail on Wednesday night.
That says the very least about what kind of President he’d be (you almost find yourself wanting him to win, and then fall so flat on his face that they have to scrape him up with a shovel) - he’s a hyper-partisan Marxist hack, with a deity complex, and a dirty friend problem. I’m confident he loses, because this guy is for all the world a 100% dirty, dirty, dirty scumbag.
Sarah Palin is an empty suit, just like Obama is. That’s not a bad thing. Think about it. Obama shot to stardom based on naught but perception. Limbaugh ran a classic ad that went something like “If you believe that Obama believes what you believe, then vote Obama”. People couldn’t tell you any accomplishments. They could not tell you what he would do. They just liked Obama and wanted to be part of that Obama “rockstar” bandwagon. Palin is getting the same treatment. People like her. She’s one of them. They see her “can do” attitude and it’s infectious. They can tell you all about her, but most of them can’t name many, if any, positions. That’s the upside and downside of having little track record or being the unknown outsider. You’re an empty suit and people tend to define you the way they want to see you. However, it can go both ways. It took a while, be we have been able to define Obama in our vision. A snobby, elitist jerk. Since people didn’t know much about him, any negative item we showed the people immediately defined Obama for them. Not the kool aid drinkers, but the independents. The ones with an open mind on it.
Look at the tracking polls of Obama’s rise and fall and you’ll see some interesting info. His fall started first with Reverend Wright. A lot of people had the empty suit of hope and change redefined with G.D. America. Obama went on defense and put out as many fires as possible but the first cuts were made. Then came Saddleback where he would not answer a single question. Suddenly, people doubted whether or not Obama believed what they believe. They wanted to think so, but they now had serious doubts. The undecided numbers started to increase. Then the stupid decisions come out. A Greek temple? Biden? Come on. The shock isn’t that Obama has come back to Earth. The real shock is that it took nearly 18 months to do so. How he was able to keep the numbers up as long as he did was amazing. But now it’s good bye independents. They had moved back to undecided and were just waiting for something.
Enter Sarah Palin. First she gives that home run speech at her introduction. People start looking at her from a *personal* point of view. She loves guns. Has 5 kids and can still bring down the old boy network while making dinner. She can take down and then field dress a moose. She joined PTA to make a difference and then went on to city council and mayor. All of these things made Palin very dear to people. She was one of them. She must believe what they believe. Then after a pressure filled week, she makes that home run speech at the convention. Suddenly the indy’s think “Palin Power!” and the polls shift massively toward McCain.
The left makes a public freak out and starts throwing everything including the kitchen sink at her. She’s undefined and they are intent on defining her: She’s a book banner and burner. She’s a separatist. She speaks in tongues. She wants to ban all abortions. She wants to kill your first born in a ritual sacrifice to appease the voice of God that she hears in her flower garden. She wants to nuke the world for Jesus. Anything the democrats can make stick is fair game to them. Not even bald faced lies will matter.
“And she has those views those religious views on abortion. she’s gonna make it illegal—I know it!”
Having finally regained the power of speech, I asked, “Since she’s never made a move in any of her elected positions to impose her, admittedly, deeply held beliefs on anyone else, how do you know?”
“She hasn’t? Well, she will!”
I pursued, “How? She’s running for Veep - a position that consists of opening the newspaper every day to make sure the POTUS is still alive and the rest of the day is yours. A coupla state funerals, maybe a tie-breaking vote in the House and ….. nuttin’.”
“McCain’s gonna die and then she’ll be POTUS! Being a POW for 5 years can’t have had no impact on his health, yanno.”
People want to see Palin their way, just like they wanted to see Obama their way. Obama was able to maintain his messiah status for a whopping 18 months. That’s unbelievable. He was forced to earth by some really bad decisions. He should have told Saddleback no. He should have disowned Wright earlier. He should have picked Hillary as VP. He was able to defy the odds for a long time, but eventually all stars fall. Palin will too. Remember, she may be RoboMom, the Sarahnator, the right’s hero, but she is still a politician. Like it or not, you don’t get to her position without serious ambitions and sometimes that means compromises are made that you would never have thought of in the past. It’s a certainty that she has plenty of skeletons and they will be brought out. As some of them come out, like her giving overpaying jobs to friends and stretching the bridge to nowhere story a bit, people lose the affection for her. As she reveals her positions, more people will turn off to her. It’s going to happen. We just need to try to minimize the how much she falls and how fast. Right now it’s “she’s not ready for VP”. People are saying that even republicans are saying that. I’m sure Palin has no psycho a**hole reverends screaming G.D. America. But she has some blemishes we’ll have to be prepared to deal with as they come out.
One other thing, most think she has to maintain this for only one and a half months. Get past November 4th and it doesn’t matter. That is not true. Palin is our hope to continue the presidency. The liberals know that. They will keep hammering her every chance they get because she is a major threat to them and as long as she is that empty undefined suit, she can be taken down. Palin needs to get into the VP office and work her rear off. She needs to visit heads of state. She needs to avoid the “stand up” gaffes like Biden does. He can get away with it. She won’t be allowed to. She needs to be a very active leader as VP. In short, she’ll need to outwork any VP that has ever been in office. That way she can define herself the way she wants to be defined and not the way the liberals will define her. Then she can control the message and show that what you see, is really what you get. 4 years from now, McCain win or lose, Palin will own the presidential landscape of the Republican party. She needs to make sure she looks like Thatcher or Reagan, and not the Quayle that the dems are trying for.
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