Electoral College Watch
- Posted by Beth on March 31st, 2008 filed in 2008 election, Barack Obama, Candidates, General, Hillary Clinton, John McCain, Politics polls
Lord Bitememan pointed out in a comment that some states are moving from the D’s to toss-ups, with the latest coming in from New Hampshire.
On Sunday, New Hampshire moved from Leans Democratic to Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. This change comes as a result of Rasmussen Markets data showing a closer race.
Remember the “President of New Hampshire?” Things might go well for him there, along with some other unexpected places.
Rasmussen’s latest “Balance of Power Calculator”:
| Balance of Power Calculator - Electoral College | |
|---|---|
| Safe Republican | 168 |
| Likely Republican | 21 |
| Leans Republican | 51 |
| Toss-Up | 55 |
| Leans Democratic | 53 |
| Likely Democratic | 33 |
| Safe Democratic | 157 |
Here’s where it counts.
Thirteen states with 159 Electoral Votes are either a pure Toss-Up or just slightly leaning to one party or the other. These are likely to be the early battleground states of Election 2008: Florida (27), Pennsylvania (21), Ohio (20), Michigan, (17), Virginia (13), Missouri (11), Minnesota (10), Wisconsin (10), Colorado (9), Iowa (7), Nevada (5), New Mexico (5), and New Hampshire (4).
As of now, these states poll as follows:
Florida - McCain Leads Obama by Four, Clinton by Seven
Pennsylvania - McCain 44% Obama 43%, McCain 46% Clinton 44%
Ohio - McCain Leads Both Clinton and Obama by Six
Michigan - McCain 43% Obama 42%; McCain 45% Clinton 42%
Virginia - McCain 52% Obama 41%; McCain 58% Clinton 36%
Missouri - McCain 53% Obama 38%; McCain 50% Clinton 41%
Minnesota - Obama 47% McCain 43%; McCain 47% Clinton 46%
Wisconsin - McCain 48 Obama 46; McCain 50 Clinton 39
Colorado - McCain and Obama tied at 46; McCain over Clinton 52-38
Iowa - Obama 44% McCain 41%; McCain 47% Clinton 37%
Nevada - Obama 45% McCain 41%; Clinton 45% McCain 44%
New Mexico - Obama and McCain Tied at 44%; McCain 50% Clinton 38%
New Hampshire - McCain 46% Obama 43%; McCain 47% Clinton 41%
Looks good, right? It’s still early, though, and the Dems have a ton of money to spend on attacking John McCain–which we all know they’ll do. All this is just to show that we CAN win in November, as long as we keep it together on our side. Right now, McCain is starting on his “biography tour,” and he’s trying to squeeze some money out of the big-time GOP donors.
YOU can, of course, help keep things going. The McCain campaign is going to need every bit of help from supporters that they can get, and you can start now.
Lord Bitememan says:
Wow, I’m attributed! I’m geeked! Or, geeky, I can’t distinguish between the two. :D